全球变暖加剧对极端气候概率影响的初步探讨   总被引：11，自引：9，他引：11  

刘吉峰  丁裕国  江志红 《高原气象》2007,26(4):837-842

依据实际资料,探讨了全球平均温度场演变序列的变率及其概率分布的变化规律,结果表明,仅仅随着平均温度的增加,其相应的时空概率分布变化已相当显著,何况在某些局部地区,其方差或其形状参数也有变动,因而形成极端气候事件频率增大的现象。  相似文献   

地-井TEM向量交会技术的实现和应用效果     

张杰  吕国印  赵敬洗  陈晓东  赵毅 《物探化探计算技术》2007,(Z1)

这里介绍的地-井TEM向量交会法是一种地-井TEM资料半定量解释方法,通过采用异常分离技术从实测资料中提取出纯异常场,运用地-井TEM的纯异常响应进行向量交会,从而达到快速、有效地确定井旁盲矿体的深度、方位及矿体距钻孔距离。  相似文献   

Ion acoustic instability of HPT particles,FAC density,anomalous resistivity and parallel electric field in the auroral region     

C. S. Jayasree  G. Renuka  C. Venugopal 《Journal of Earth System Science》2003,112(4):559-567

During the magnetic storm of 21st March 1990, the DE-1 spacecraft encountered the auroral region at high invariant latitude at altitudes ranging from a few thousand kilometers in the ionosphere to many earth radii in the magnetosphere. The magnetic field perturbations interpretable as field aligned current (FAC) layers and the electrostatic turbulence possibly due to electrostatic ion acoustic instability driven by these currents are shown. The critical drift velocity of Hot Plasma Torus (HPT) electrons and the growth rate of ion acoustic wave as a function of electron to ion temperature ratio (T _e/T_i) for low and high current densities and energy of HPT electrons are found out. The intense FAC destabilizes the ion acoustic wave and the resultant electrostatic turbulence creates an anomalous resistivity. The current driven resistivity produces parallel electric field and high power dissipation. The anomalous resistivityη, potential difference along the auroral field lines V_t|, intensity of electric field turbulenceE _t| and power produced per unit volumeP are computed. It is found that the change in westward magnetic perturbation increasesJ _t|, η, V_t|, E_t| andP. Hence HPT electrons are heated and accelerated due to power dissipation during magnetically active periods in the auroral region. Concerning, applications, such HPT electrons can be used in particle accelerators like electron ring accelerator, smokatron etc.  相似文献   

ENSO循环过程对南极海冰的影响   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

陈锦年  秦曾灏  褚健婷  许兰英 《极地研究》2003,15(2):129-137

应用 1 951- 2 0 0 2年NINO特征指数 (NINO1 +2 ,NINO3 ,NINO4 ,NINO3 .4)和 1 973-1 998年南极海冰北界范围以及 1 950- 2 0 0 1年SODA海洋温度资料。首先分析探讨了在ElNi no期间 ,堆积于赤道东太平洋的异常暖水在南半球的传播途径 ,进而研究了ENSO以及东南太平洋异常海温场与南极海冰之间的关系。结果表明 ,在ElNino期间 ,堆积于赤道东太平洋的异常暖水 ,是沿秘鲁和智利沿岸向极传播。其传播过程持续大约 1年的时间 ,但未发现沿南赤道流的西传现象。ENSO循环过程与南极海冰变化存在一定联系 ,特别是Amundsen Belling shausen海和南极半岛海冰的变化与ENSO暖事件 (ElNino)较为密切。当ElNino事件发生后 ,时滞 2年左右的时间 ,Amundsen Bellingshausen海和南极半岛的海冰将出现明显的减少现象 ,特别是南极半岛的海冰减少最为明显。ElNino事件对南极海冰的影响过程是 ,堆积于赤道东太平洋的大量异常暖水 ,沿南美 (秘鲁和智利 )沿岸近海向极地传播 ,异常暖水的这种向极传播过程将引起近极的海温场出现异常升高 ,最终导致Amundsen Bellingshausen海和南极半岛地区的海冰减少。自 2 0世纪 80年代以来 ,Amundsen Bellingshausen海和南极半岛的海冰出现明显减少的趋势 ,与这一时期的ElNino事件的频繁发生  相似文献   

甘肃省1994～2001年极端干旱气候特征研究   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

瞿汶  刘德祥  杨苏华 《干旱气象》2003,21(1):11-15

利用甘肃省80站月降水量资料，对1994—2001年连续8a极端干旱气候持续时间、空间分布、干旱影响程度、相似年等进行研究。得出1995年、1997年、2000年是近8a中干旱量严重年，对农业、水资源、生态环境的影响最大。  相似文献   

区域生态地球化学评价思路及建议   总被引：25，自引：17，他引：25  

杨忠芳  成杭新  奚小环  刘爱华 《地质通报》2005,24(8):687-693

区城生态地球化学评价是在多目标地球化学调查基础上开展的一项区域评价研究工作，其目的是为国家和所薪究地区的国民经济建设、工农业结构调整和社会可持续发展提供基础地球化学资料。区域生态地球化学评价以异常元素的来源-成因-迁移转化-生态效应-预测预警为研究主线，以生态系统为研究基本单元，查明异常元素分布、分配、成因及来源，研究它们在地球表层备大层圈中的迁移转化规律，评价它们所产生的生态效应，应用地球化学和生态学的基本原理和方法对污染的生态系统进行预测预警，井提出治理建议，为国家区域性经济战略调整和工农业可持续发展提供科学依据。  相似文献   

Hydro-geomorphic hazards and impact of man-made structures during the catastrophic flood of June 2000 in the Upper Guil catchment (Queyras, Southern French Alps)   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Gilles Arnaud-Fassetta  Etienne Cossart  Monique Fort 《Geomorphology》2005,66(1-4):41

The Guil River Valley (Queyras, Southern French Alps) is prone to catastrophic floods, as the long historical archives and Holocene sedimentary records demonstrate. In June 2000, the upper part of this valley was affected by a “30-year” recurrence interval (R.I.) flood. Although of lower magnitude and somewhat different nature from that of 1957 (>100-year R.I. flood), the 2000 event induced serious damage to infrastructure and buildings on the valley floor. Use of methods including high-resolution aerial photography, multi-date mapping, hydraulic calculations and field observations made possible the characterisation of the geomorphic impacts on the Guil River and its tributaries. The total rainfall (260 mm in four days) and maximum hourly intensity (17.3 mm h⁻¹), aggravated by pre-existing saturated soils, explain the immediate response of the fluvial system and the subsequent destabilisation of slopes. Abundant water and sediment supply (landsliding, bank erosion), particularly from small catchment basins cut into slaty, schist bedrock, resulted in destructive pulses of debris flow and hyperconcentrated flows. The specific stream power of the Guil and its tributaries was greater than the critical stream power, thus explaining the abundant sediment transport. The Guil discharge was estimated as 180 m³ s⁻¹ at Aiguilles, compared to the annual mean discharge of 6 m³ s⁻¹ and a June mean discharge of 18 m³ s⁻¹. The impacts on the Guil valley floor (flooding, aggradation, generalised bank erosion and changes in the river pattern) were widespread and locally influenced by variations in the floodplain slope and/or channel geometry. The stream partially reoccupied former channels abandoned or modified in their geometry by various structures built during the last four decades, as exemplified by the Aiguilles case study, where the worst damage took place. A comparative study of the geomorphic consequences of both the 1957 and 2000 floods shows that, despite their poor maintenance, the flood control structures built after the 1957 event were relatively efficient, in contrast to unprotected places. The comparison also demonstrates the role of land-use changes (conversion from traditional agro-pastoral life to a ski/hiking-based economy, construction of various structures) in reducing the Guil channel capacity and, more generally, in increasing the vulnerability of the human installations. The efficiency of the measures taken after the 2000 flood (narrowing and digging out of the channel) is also assessed. Final evaluation suggests that, in such high mountainous environments, there is a need to keep most of the 1957 flooded zone clear of buildings and other structures (aside from the existing villages and structures of particular economic interest), in order to enable the river to migrate freely and to adjust to exceptional hydro-geomorphic conditions without causing major damage.  相似文献   

ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE CHINA ANOMALOUS CLIMATE VARIATION AND ENSO CYCLE ON THE QUASI-FOUR-YEAR SCALE     

朱艳峰  陈隆勋  宇如聪 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2004,10(1):1-13

1 INTRODUCTION Much work has been done addressing the relationship between anomalous climate changes and ENSO in China and the results vary much. For instance, Li et al. (1987) [1] think that the Mei-yu (sustained rain) starts later, lasts shorter and pre…  相似文献   

河北平原非地热异常区地热资源   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

张德忠  王蕴玉 《地球学报》2000,21(2):151-154

多年来 ,由于人们对地热资源认识的局限性 ,只把注意力集中在地热异常区 ,即地温梯度大于3.5℃/100m或大地热流值大于62mW/m2的地区。因此 ,地热异常区内的地热资源大部分已得到开发利用 ,而非地热异常区的地热资源远远没有得到开发利用。非地热异常区面积占平原区总面积的80%以上 ,所蕴藏的地热资源潜力巨大 ,如能得到开发利用 ,必将对地方经济的发展起到极大的推动作用。  相似文献   

邢台市东部平原地热开发远景初探     

方连育  康清普 《地球学报》2000,21(2):155-159

在简述邢台市东部平原地质构造、地层、地热地质模型、地质变异常区分布特征基础上,对邢台市东部平原地热开发远景进行了分析探讨,并提出了在邢台市东部平原进行地热资源开发的合理化建议。指出地热异常区内的远景开发区应优先开发;准地热异常区的地热资源开发应引起足够重视;在不具备完整地热地质模型的地热异常区内也有地热资源存在的可能。  相似文献